Mercury Through Pisces – Does Crude Oil Respond ?

Crude Oil futures started trading in New York on March 30, 1983. A look at a geocentric horoscope for that day shows the 10th House covering parts of Aquarius and Pisces. Neptune is the ruler of Pisces. This is likely why traditional astrology texts say that Neptune and Pisces are the rulers of Crude Oil.

But, the critical thinker in me says…”hold on just a moment…”.

Neptune is a slow moving outer planet. Geocentric Neptune entered the sign of Pisces in December 2012 and will not leave Pisces until May 2025. Does this mean that Crude Oil prices will now be the focus of everyone’s attention until 2025? I seriously do not think so. Crude Oil has been the focus of everyone from politicians to consumers at the pump for years and years. Tell me that last time you watched a financial broadcast where the price of Crude Oil was not commented on. So, why then would Neptune in Pisces in 2013 all of a sudden make a difference?

The notion of planetary rulerships goes back probably over 100 years. Who crafted this notion initially, I do not know. Astrologer Henry Wiengarten summed it up best in his 1996 book “Investing by the Stars” when he said that ‘rulerships can be assigned to various stocks which can then be made the subject of testing’.  In other words, he is saying to be careful. Do some testing before jumping to a conclusion concerning planetary rulers.

I concur.

One can argue all day long that Neptune and Pisces rule Crude Oil. But, does the back-testing support the thesis? The unquestioning assignment of planetary rulerships to stocks and commodities does not sit well with me. This is why I go to great pains to stress that I am not an astrologer. I am merely a critical thinker, a market trader, a person of reason – who uses astrology as a tool to assist me with trading. My goal is to share my knowledge and findings with others through my published books and posted blogs.

So, let’s now take a look at Pisces. Let’s look at those times when planets like Mercury, Venus and Mars transit through Pisces. Let’s also look at the Sun moving through Pisces too. Do these timespans correlate to significant price moves on Crude Oil?

To ensure a good statistical treatment, I looked at the timeframe September 1, 1998 to September 1, 2013.

This blog post will only take into account the event of Mercury transiting through the sign of Pisces. Such transits take between 3 and 8 weeks, depending on whether or not there was a retrograde period involved or not. Other blogs that will follow in the coming day will look at other Neptune and Pisces events and their impact (if any) on Crude Oil prices.

 

 

 

 

The following table shows my data findings:

Calendar Year Price Range

Mercury in Pisces

Price Change

During Transit

% Change in Price

% of Yearly Range

1999 – $15.79

Feb 12-Mar 2, 1999

+$0.63

5.3%

3.99%

 

Mar 18-Apr 17, 1999

+$2.33

15.5%

14.76%

2000 – $7.30

Feb 5-Apr 12, 2000

-$3.41

11.83%

46.7%

2001 – $15.28

Mar 17 – Apr6, 2001

+$0.32

1.2%

2.0%

2002 – $14.09

Mar 11 – Mar 29, 2002

+$2.00

8.2%

14.2%

2003-$14.75

Mar 4 – Mar 21, 2003

-$8.97

25.0%

60.8%

2004 – $23.00

Feb 25 – Mar 12, 2004

+$0.51

1.4%

2.2%

2005 – $28.95

Feb 16-Mar 4, 2005

+$5.43

11.23%

18.76%

2006 – $22.48

Feb 8 – Apr 16, 2006

+$6.19

9.9%

27.54%

2007 -$47.16

Feb 2-Feb 26, 2007

+$2.37

4.0%

5.0%

 

Mar 18-Apr 10, 2007

+$5.30

9.3%

11.24%

2008 – $111.13

Mar 14-Apr 2, 2008

+$5.38

4.88%

4.84%

2009 – $48.80

Mar 8-Mar 25, 2009

+$5.70

12.13%

11.68%

2010 – $23.63

Mar 1-Mar 27, 2010

+$1.30

1.65%

5.5%

2011 –$38.27

Feb 21-Mar 9, 2011

+$5.74

6.1%

15.0%

2012 – $32.52

Feb 13-Mar 2, 2012

+$5.81

5.7%

17.87%

 

Mar 23-Apr 1, 2012

-$1.64

1.5%

5.04%

2013 – $27.01 (so far)

Feb 5-Apr 13, 2013

+$0.37

0.38%

1.3%

 

First off, let’s consider the price changes during these Mercury transits as a percentage of the overall price move during the calendar year. I am going to arbitrarily deem a ‘significant’ move to be 10% of the annual price range (or more). From the 18 observations, we can see that 10 of 18 Mercury transits exhibited this behavior. So, if you are a Crude Oil trader and if you know that Mercury is about to transit Pisces, wait for a buy or sell signal, enter the appropriate trade and recent history shows that you will have a 55% chance of experiencing a ‘significant’ move in price that will be at least 10% of the range Crude will trade in during that calendar year.

Next, let’s look at the individual moves and express the moves as a percentage. I am going to arbitrarily deem a ‘significant’ move to be 9%. Don’t forget that before you can put on a trade, you need a technical buy or sell signal on your charts to cause you to enter that trade. Such signals sometimes take time to develop. This is why I am deeming a 9% move to be significant. Such a move should allow a signal to develop. Such a move after paying trading commissions should leave you with a tidy profit.

From the 18 observations, we can see that 7 of 18 Mercury transits exhibited such a move. If I select a 10% move instead, 5 of 18 events comply. So, if you are a Crude Oil trader and if you know that Mercury is about to transit Pisces, wait for a buy or sell signal, enter the appropriate trade and recent history shows that you will have at best a 38% chance of making at least a small gain on the trade.

For me and my trading account, these statistics do not cut it. Perhaps you and your trading account will also agree with me.

So, the next time a traditional astrologer mentions that Pisces rules Crude Oil, you will have this blog post to remind you that Mercury transiting through Pisces will not necessarily offer you a sure-fire winning trade.

Perhaps other planets transiting Pisces will offer better odds of success. In my next posts to this site, I will take a look at other planets in Pisces.

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