Sun Conjunct Neptune – how does the Crude Oil market respond?

Crude Oil futures started trading in New York on March 30, 1983. A look at a geocentric horoscope for that day shows Pisces and Aquarius in the 10th House. Neptune is the ruler of Pisces. This is likely why traditional astrology texts say that Neptune and Pisces are the rulers of Crude Oil.

But, the critical thinker in me says…”hold on just a moment…”.

Neptune is a slow moving outer planet. Geocentric Neptune entered the sign of Pisces in December 2012 and will not leave Pisces until May 2025. Does this mean that Crude Oil prices will now be the focus of everyone’s attention until 2025? I seriously do not think so. Crude Oil has been the focus of everyone from politicians to consumers at the pump for years and years. Tell me that last time you watched a financial broadcast where the price of Crude Oil was not commented on. So, why then would Neptune in Pisces in 2013 all of a sudden make a difference?

The notion of planetary rulerships goes back probably over 100 years. Who crafted this notion initially, I do not know. Astrologer Henry Wiengarten summed it up best in his 1996 book “Investing by the Stars” when he said that ‘rulerships can be assigned to various stocks which can then be made the subject of testing’.  In other words, he is saying to be careful. Do some testing before jumping to a conclusion concerning planetary rulers.

I concur.

One can argue all day long that Neptune and Pisces rule Crude Oil. But, does the back-testing support the thesis? The unquestioning assignment of planetary rulerships to stocks and commodities does not sit well with me. This is why I go to great pains to stress that I am not an astrologer. I am merely a critical thinker, a market trader, a person of reason – who uses astrology as a tool to assist me with trading. My goal is to share my knowledge and findings with others through my published books and posted blogs.

So, let’s now take a look at Pisces. Let’s look at those times when planets like Mercury, Venus and Mars transit through Pisces. Let’s also look at the Sun moving through Pisces too. Do these timespans correlate to significant price moves on Crude Oil?

To ensure a good statistical treatment, I looked at the timeframe September 1, 1998 to September 1, 2013.

This blog post will only take into account the event of Sun being conjunct (0 degrees) to Neptune. I have used an orb of 10 degrees. My start times for transits begin with Sun 10 degrees from Neptune and end with Sun being 10 degrees past Neptune.  Such transits take ~20 days.  

  

The following table shows my data findings:

Calendar Year Price Range

Sun conjunct Neptune

Price Change

During Transit

% Change in Price

1999 – $15.79

Jan 12-Feb 2, 1999

-$0.04

0.32%

2000 – $7.30

Jan 14-Feb 4, 2000

+$0.82

2.9%

2001 – $15.28

Jan 16-Feb 5, 2001

+$0.26

0.86%

2002 – $14.09

Jan 19-Feb 7, 2002

+$1.64

9.1%

2003-$14.75

Jan 21-Feb 11, 2003

+$2.25

6.78%

2004 – $23.00

Jan 23-Feb 13, 2004

-$0.38

1.09%

2005 – $28.95

Jan 24-Feb 14, 2005

-$1.37

2.81%

2006 – $22.28

Jan 27-Feb 16, 2006

-$9.30

13.72%

2007 -$47.16

Jan 30-Feb 19, 2007

+$2.42

4.25%

2008 – $111.13

Feb 1-Feb 22, 2008

+$9.85

11.07%

2009 – $48.80

Feb 2-Feb 23, 2009

-$1.64

4.09%

2010 – $23.62

Feb 4-Feb 25, 2010

+$5.03

6.88%

2011 –$38.27

Feb 7-Feb 27, 2011

+$10.40

11.9%

2012 – $32.52

Feb 10-Feb 29, 2012

+$8.40

8.5%

2013 – $27.01 (so far)

Feb 11-Mar 4, 2013

-$6.91

7.12%

 

Let’s look at the individual moves and express the moves as a percentage. I am going to arbitrarily deem a ‘significant’ move to be 10%. Don’t forget that before you can put on a trade, you need a technical buy or sell signal on your charts to cause you to enter that trade. Such signals sometimes take time to develop. This is why I am deeming a 10% move to be significant. Such a move should allow time for a signal to develop. Such a move after paying trading commissions should leave you with a tidy profit.

From the 15 observations, we can see that 3 of 15 Sun conjunct Neptune events exhibited such a move.

Taking a significant move to be 5% shows that 8 of 15 events comply.

So, if you are a Crude Oil trader and if you know that Sun is about to conjunct Neptune, wait for a buy or sell signal, enter the appropriate trade and recent history shows that you will have between 20% and  53% chance of making at least a small gain on the trade – depending on how you define a significant move.

For me and my trading account, these statistics do not cut it. Perhaps you and your trading account will also agree with me.

The next time a traditional astrologer mentions that Pisces and Neptune rule Crude Oil you will have this blog post to remind you that Sun conjunct Neptune will not necessarily offer you a sure-fire winning trade.

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One comment on “Sun Conjunct Neptune – how does the Crude Oil market respond?

  1. Kevin says:

    Actually, an astrologer I followed notified me of a planetary setup involving Crude which involved Neptune and the prices bottomed within 3 days and rallied $16 over the course of 5 months.

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